G53.1150 : Quantitative Research in Political Science

Data

Collinear.dta

mcolin11.dta

yx10_500.dta

yx10_big.dta

simulate2.dta

hetero2.asc

CARD.DTA

Reading Assignments

• Weeks 1 - 3: MATH CAMP
  
• About Week 4 (Sept 24-28):
  
  
  • WMS, Chapter 1 - Statistics.
  • WMS, Chapter 2 - Probability .
    1. Sample Point Methods, Counting.
    2. Some Laws: Additive, Multiplicative.
    3. Conditional Probability, Total Probability, Baye's Rule.
  
  
• About Week 5 (Oct 1-5):
  • WMS, Chapter 3, Discrete Probability Distributions.
    1. Definition of a Probability Distribution.
    2. Expected Value.
    3. Binomial, Poisson distibutions.
    4. Tchebysheff's Theorem.
  
  
• About Week 6 (Oct 8-12)
  • WMS, Chapter 4, Continuous Probability Distributions.
  
  
• About Week 6 (Oct 8-12)
  • WMS, Chapter 5, Multivariate Probability Distributions.
  
  
• About Week 7 (Oct 15-19)
  • WMS, Chapter 7.1-7.3, Some Distributions Related to the Normal; the Central Limit Theorem.
  
  
• About Week 8 (Oct 22-26)
  • WMS, Chapter 8, Estimation. (Skip 8.9)
  • WMS, Chapter 10, Hypothesis Testing (Skip 10.9 - 10.11).
  
  
• MIDTERM - Friday, Oct 26
  

• For Wednesday Oct 31 and Fri Nov 2:
  • Lecture on Basics of an econometric model, and how to think about 'ordinary least squares.'
  • Wooldridge, Chapter 2, Simple Regression.
  • "Notes on OLS" , Pages 1-15, Nagler.
  
  
• For Monday Nov 5 and Wed Nov 7:
  • Achen, ``Measuring Representation", AJPS, 1977.
  • King, ``Stochastic Variation: Comment on R-Squared'', Political Analysis, 1990. [See course Blackboard site for a copy.]
  • "Notes on OLS", Pages 1-15, Nagler. (available online soon).
  
  
• For Wed Nov 14 and Fri Nov 16:
  • Wooldridge, Chapter 3, Multiple Regression.
  • Wooldridge, Chapter 4, Sampling Distribution of the OLS estimators, Confidence Intervals, omitted variable bias.
    • But Skip 4.5 (F-tests), we will do those later.

• For Mon Nov 19 and Wed Nov 21:
  • Wooldridge, Chapter 4.5, F-Tests
  • Wooldridge, Chapter 6, Standarized Coefficients, Functional Form, Quadratics, Interaction Terms.
  • Wooldridge, Chapter 7.1-7.4, RHS Dummy Variables.
  • Wright, ``Linear Models for Evaluating Conditional Relationships,'' AJPS, 1976.
  • King, ``Race of the Variables'', AJPS, 1986, p. 669-678.
  
  
• For Wed Nov 28:
  • Wooldridge, Chapter 8 Heteroscedasticity. Do not worry so much about 8.5 (LPM). And 8.4 (WLS) is probably not too important to you.
  • White, Halbert, ``A Heteroscedasticisity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test For Heteroskeasticity", Econometrica, 1980, Vol 48: 817-838.
  
  
• For Fri Nov 30:
  • Simulation of quantities of interest and confidence intervals.
  • King, et-al, ``Making the Most of Statistical Analysis: Improving Interpretation and Presentation," AJPS, 2000.
  
  
• For Wed Dec 5:
  • Wooldridge, Pages 318-333, Measurement Error.
  • Robinson, W.S., ``Ecological Correlations and the Behavior of Individuals,'' American Sociological Review, 1950, Vol 15:351-357.
  
  
• For Mon Dec 10:
  • FINAL EXAM
  
  
• For Wed Dec 12:
  • What did we leave out??
  
  
• EVERYTHING FOLLOWING IS TENTATIVE AND HAS THE WRONG DATE!!!
  BUT, IT IS WHAT WE DID LAST YEAR.....

• For Wed Dec 6:
  • Robinson, W.S., ``Ecological Correlations and the Behavior of Individuals,'' American Sociological Review, 1950, Vol 15:351-357.
  • Kramer, Gerald H., ``The Ecological Fallacy Revisisted: Aggregate versus Individual-level Findings on Economics and Elections, and Sociotropic Voting'', American Political Science Review, 1983, Vol 77:92-111.
  
  
• For Fri Dec 8:
  • Wooldridge, Pages 318-333, Measurement Error.